Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.039802 0.043264 0.046750 0.050518 0.054469 0.058482 0.062863
2025-10-19 0.034711 0.039864 0.045222 0.051186 0.057616 0.064316 0.071804
2025-10-26 0.030821 0.037206 0.044037 0.051835 0.060436 0.069586 0.080005
2025-11-02 0.026156 0.033226 0.041010 0.050117 0.060384 0.071512 0.084399
2025-11-09 0.023059 0.030699 0.039332 0.049651 0.061503 0.074554 0.089875
2025-11-16 0.020573 0.028648 0.037996 0.049394 0.062704 0.077563 0.095216
2025-11-23 0.019377 0.028011 0.038209 0.050841 0.065784 0.082645 0.102860
2025-11-30 0.018183 0.027265 0.038201 0.051950 0.068414 0.087172 0.109846
2025-12-07 0.016928 0.026338 0.037889 0.052625 0.070475 0.091003 0.116007
2025-12-14 0.015542 0.025140 0.037158 0.052717 0.071785 0.093913 0.121071
2025-12-21 0.014802 0.024731 0.037370 0.053930 0.074414 0.098357 0.127913
2025-12-28 0.013293 0.023185 0.036049 0.053164 0.074583 0.099845 0.131256
2026-01-04 0.012294 0.022302 0.035571 0.053465 0.076087 0.102974 0.136614
2026-01-11 0.011542 0.021718 0.035451 0.054198 0.078114 0.106731 0.142729
2026-01-18 0.010835 0.021150 0.035318 0.054889 0.080074 0.110405 0.148753
2026-01-25 0.009337 0.019299 0.033355 0.053119 0.078878 0.110195 0.150081
2026-02-01 0.008399 0.018227 0.032409 0.052640 0.079281 0.111910 0.153708
2026-02-08 0.007609 0.017325 0.031653 0.052376 0.079926 0.113903 0.157659
2026-02-15 0.007394 0.017341 0.032204 0.053876 0.082853 0.118732 0.165081
2026-02-22 0.007096 0.017195 0.032505 0.055027 0.085321 0.122994 0.171819
2026-03-01 0.006697 0.016847 0.032488 0.055726 0.087193 0.126508 0.177644
2026-03-08 0.006170 0.016237 0.032053 0.055821 0.088255 0.128997 0.182203
2026-03-15 0.005966 0.016185 0.032451 0.057079 0.090853 0.133428 0.189173